{"id":4630,"date":"2010-06-22T11:39:20","date_gmt":"2010-06-22T08:39:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/en\/?p=4630"},"modified":"2015-01-26T20:05:42","modified_gmt":"2015-01-26T18:05:42","slug":"the-new-era-of-romanian-real-estate-markettop-properties-in-good-prices-and-foreclosures-or-no-deal-at-all","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/2010\/06\/22\/the-new-era-of-romanian-real-estate-markettop-properties-in-good-prices-and-foreclosures-or-no-deal-at-all\/","title":{"rendered":"The new era of Romanian Real Estate market: Top properties in good prices and foreclosures or no deal at all"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\tThis year started with several experts predicting that the prices would rise. Life proved that this was not accurate, as the serious problems of Romanian economy keep on blocking the market&#039;s evolution. As June is about to end, it is more than clear that the Romanian Real Estate market has entered in a new era, disappointing the speculators who expected the party to start soon.\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t<strong>The factors which lead us to the new era<\/strong><br \/>\n\tWhich are the factors which guide us to this new era? Let us review the reality we live today, June 2010?\n<\/p>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Romanian economy continues trembling<\/strong>. Despite the hopes for improvement, as there were not many measures to solve problems and encourage new investments, almost everything is still blocked.<!--more-->\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"indent\" style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t&#8211;&nbsp; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/en\/2010\/05\/06\/no-martini-no-partyno-serious-measures-no-serious-results\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>(No Martini = no party) No serious measures = no serious results<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\tThe positive scenario was to exit the crisis in few months time, but it does not look very possible to happen. <strong>Most probably Romanian economy will move between the realistic and the negative scenario<\/strong>, recovering in the second half of 2011 or even in 2012, if things will continue to be like now.\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t&#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/en\/2010\/04\/27\/when-is-this-crisis-going-to-endthe-positive-scenario-for-romanian-market\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>&quot;When is this crisis going to end?&quot; The positive, negative and realist scenario for Romanian market<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>The world economy is very fragile<\/strong>. Crisis appears to be like a W. It went down, then a bit up and now it looks that it will go down again, for the &quot;final round&quot; before the recovery. And Romania is very dependent on the world economy&#8230;\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t&#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/en\/2010\/03\/19\/mipim-2010-lesson-no-1world-market-dont-expect-much-from-2010-better-days-to-come-in-2011\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>MIPIM 2010, Lesson no. 1: World market: Don&#039;t expect much from 2010, Better days to come in 2011<\/strong><\/a><br \/>\n\t&#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/en\/2009\/11\/17\/romania-2010-do-we-really-wantto-reach-bottom-and-stop-falling\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Romania 2010: Do we really want to reach bottom and stop falling?<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>More than 60% of the &quot;Real Estate players&quot; remain&#8230; &quot;not very serious&quot;<\/strong>. They don&#039;t seem to have learned their lesson from this crisis and they continue trying to play games, or simply not caring about anything at all. Result: Clients get scared and become even more defensive&#8230;\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"indent\" style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t&#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/en\/2010\/05\/12\/do-you-listen-to-yourselfno-why-should-i\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>&quot;Do you listen to yourself?&quot; &quot;No, why should I?&quot;<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\tThe problem is not only that too many owners dream of the 2008 prices. <strong>The main issue is that even when we have an agreement on the price, we still discover many problems with the papers of the property<\/strong>. It looks that either people want to sell with unrealistic prices, or they try to sell a property with problems. This is why we have too many discussions but very few transactions.\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t<span class=\"indent\" style=\"font-size: small\">&#8211; <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/en\/2010\/06\/01\/real-prices-are-not-the-asked-prices-can-you-finally-get-it\/\" target=\"_blank\">Real prices are NOT the asked prices. Can you finally get it?<\/a><\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n\t<span class=\"indent\" style=\"font-size: small\">&#8211; <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/en\/2010\/03\/03\/2010-like-2009-no-business-as-usualand-too-many-people-still-dream\/\" target=\"_blank\">2010 like 2009: No business as usual (&#8230;and too many people still dream)<\/a><\/strong><\/span>\n<\/p>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>The banks continue being very defensive, trying to avoid any involvement in &quot;risky&quot; loans<\/strong>. &quot;Risky&quot; turned out to be almost every investment in Real Estate, except few cases. In the same time, most of them &quot;sit on tons of bad loans&quot;, from hundreds to billions of Euro worth. Their real value is less and sooner or later there will have to be a solution&#8230;\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"indent\" style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t&#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/en\/2010\/06\/02\/first-5-months-of-the-year5-5-lessons-for-real-estate-market\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>As long as Romanian economy will continue falling, the Real Estate market will continue dropping as well&nbsp;<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Clients, Romanians or foreigners, are very defensive and they expect the prices to go lower<\/strong>. So they buy only when they get the price they want.\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Very few good offers are in the market for sale<\/strong>.\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Unemployment is high and it will rise furthermore<\/strong>, as companies realize that the crisis will stay for long time and they have to adjust to this new business environment.\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Austerity measures were implemented, but they don&#039;t seem to be enough<\/strong>. There are discussions about new loans, but IMF is not willing to provide money so easily, without stronger commitments and actions.\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Last but not least: Since last year we live in political instability<\/strong>. Either we don&#039;t have a government (like during 3 months of 2009) or we have one which keeps on receiving &quot;grace periods&quot; (as we all read in the media). This does not help&#8230;\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t<strong>So, let us sum up the facts:<\/strong>\n<\/p>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Economy doesn&#039;t have good potential over the following months.<\/strong>\n\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Unemployment will remain high.<\/strong>\n\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Austerity measures were implemented and more ones are expected to follow.<\/strong>\n\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Incomes will be reduced furthermore.<\/strong>\n\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Investors are defensive, while owners still wish too much.<\/strong>\n\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>(Some of the) Banks pretend to be cool, but they are in trouble and they have to do something about it.<\/strong>\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t&nbsp;\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t<strong>Factors cause results&#8230; a new era for the Romanian Real Estate market<\/strong><br \/>\n\tAll these can not last forever without causing more consequences. So, when the investors remain idle and several owners will be more and more pressed to sell, they will have to accept a lower price, in order to attract an investor. And as the economic environment will worsen, this procedure will be accelerated and more people will be stressed. Some of them will end up being &quot;distressed&quot;.\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\tIn the same time, the banks will have to decide: Are they going to continue helping some people who don&#039;t seem to be able to solve their problems? Are they going to take the property on their assets and register losses? How many millions can they lose? Is it easy for them, being subsidiaries of mothers banks located in other countries, to ask their main shareholder to send money for capital increase, in order to cover these losses?\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t<strong>All these and many more created a new era for Romanian Real Estate market:<\/strong><br \/>\n\tThis era has already started and its main characteristics are:\n<\/p>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\tTransactions at &quot;decent&quot; prices will be concluded only when the properties are really good.\n\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\tFor anything too big or not very good, the price will be much lower. (Very few people have access to money in order to buy properties worth more than 10 &#8211; 20 million Euro)\n\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\tForeclosures will increase furthermore, as a difficult winter is coming soon.\n\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\tThe owners who will insist in high prices will simply wait for some more years.\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t<strong>Exceptions:<\/strong><br \/>\n\t<span class=\"list\">Properties sold by &quot;Prima Casa&quot; law. <\/span>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t<span class=\"list\">Top &#8211; unique properties<\/span>\n<\/p>\n<ul style=\"text-align: justify\" type=\"disc\">\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t<strong>When did this era start? How long is it going to last?<\/strong>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\tIt has already started. We have been living in it since several months now. What is going to change soon will be how visible this era will be in our life. More and more people will need solutions to their problems and selling a property will be one of them.\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\tI would say that we will live in this period for at least 12 months. Some people say that it will probably last until the end of 2012, but nothing is sure yet. One thing is clear: We will soon realize that this procedure will accelerate, as the result of all the above mentioned. I would estimate it to be 12 &#8211; 24 months. I can bet that it will not be less than this. Unfortunately I cannot bet that it will not be more&#8230;\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\n\t<strong>Tomorrow:<\/strong>\n<\/p>\n<ul type=\"disc\">\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>Living during a new difficult era<\/strong>\n\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>5 tips for an owner in order to protect his interests<\/strong>\n\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"list\">\n\t\t<strong>5 tips for an investor in order to reach a successful investment<\/strong>\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This year started with several experts predicting that the prices would rise. Life proved that this was not accurate, as the serious problems of Romanian economy keep on blocking the market&#039;s evolution. As June is about to end, it is more than clear that the Romanian Real Estate market has entered in a new era, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":59454,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[216],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4630"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4630"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4630\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59454"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4630"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4630"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.iliaspapageorgiadis.ro\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4630"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}